Morell vs El Catllar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-89%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SEP
1 - 2
MOR
23%
22%
55%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
STB
3 - 0
MOR
59%
22%
20%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 3
CFR
61%
21%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
UDT
3 - 0
MOR
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
UDV
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
El Catllar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CEE
0 - 0
CFR
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
UDT
2 - 3
CEE
51%
22%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CEE
2 - 2
UDV
47%
24%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CEE
2 - 2
CEE
27%
23%
50%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CEE
2 - 0
TAR
61%
21%
18%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |