Morell vs Balaguer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
60.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-96%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
UES
2 - 0
MOR
65%
18%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
UDV
20%
21%
59%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
UDV
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ALP
3 - 0
MOR
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
SUB
38%
23%
39%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Balaguer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 1
ALP
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SUB
1 - 1
BAL
40%
23%
37%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 1
RUB
40%
25%
35%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RAP
2 - 2
BAL
32%
26%
42%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 0
VIL
62%
19%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |