Morell vs At. Alpicat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
78.9%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-96%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SUB
1 - 0
MOR
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 0
RUB
10%
17%
73%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 3
RAP
11%
17%
72%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
MOR
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 5
IGU
13%
18%
69%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
At. Alpicat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
UDV
1 - 2
ALP
41%
25%
34%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ALP
2 - 2
SUB
55%
20%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ALP
0 - 0
RUB
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
RAP
1 - 0
ALP
35%
24%
41%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
ALP
3 - 2
VIL
50%
21%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |