CA Morelia vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
CAF
4 - 2
MOR
30%
26%
45%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 1
ATS
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 1
QRO
50%
26%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
TIG
2 - 1
MOR
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 1
LOB
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
VER
0 - 2
TIG
25%
29%
46%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
VER
0 - 1
ATS
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
LOB
5 - 0
VER
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
TAM
1 - 1
VER
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
VER
1 - 1
AME
25%
27%
47%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |