CA Morelia vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 3
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
QRO
0 - 3
MOR
32%
26%
43%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 0
CAZ
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 2
MOR
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 1
SAN
45%
25%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 2
PUM
53%
25%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TIJ
1 - 1
TOL
29%
29%
42%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 1
JAG
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 2
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 4
PAC
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |