CA Morelia vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 0
LEO
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2002 |
NAC
3 - 3
MOR
65%
20%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2002 |
PUM
2 - 1
MOR
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
MOR
1 - 3
CAZ
31%
24%
46%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2002 |
MOR
0 - 0
VEL
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
TOL
0 - 0
ATL
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
SAN
0 - 1
TOL
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
TOL
2 - 2
EST
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
CHI
0 - 3
TOL
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
TOL
0 - 1
TOR
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |