CA Morelia vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
PUM
2 - 2
MOR
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 2
AME
23%
24%
53%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 1
PUE
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
QRO
3 - 0
MOR
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
UAT
0 - 1
MOR
26%
23%
51%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
PAC
4 - 0
TIJ
63%
21%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
TIJ
3 - 1
ATS
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
TIJ
1 - 1
ALE
59%
24%
18%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
NEC
1 - 2
TIJ
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
TIJ
1 - 1
VAN
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |