CA Morelia vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 2
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PUM
1 - 1
MOR
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 1
NEC
48%
24%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LEO
3 - 1
MOR
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
CAZ
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TIJ
3 - 2
LEO
38%
26%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
LEO
3 - 0
TIJ
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
VER
2 - 1
TIJ
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
TIJ
0 - 1
TIG
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 1
TIJ
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |