CA Morelia vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
MOR
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 2
EST
57%
22%
20%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
GAL
2 - 1
MOR
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 1
MOR
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
MOT
0 - 2
MOR
21%
26%
54%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
TIG
4 - 1
PUM
44%
28%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TIJ
1 - 1
TIG
25%
28%
47%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TIG
1 - 1
JAG
52%
26%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
TIG
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TIG
5 - 0
PAC
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |