CA Morelia vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
MOR
0 - 0
TOL
45%
25%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 0
LEO
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2002 |
NAC
3 - 3
MOR
65%
20%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2002 |
PUM
2 - 1
MOR
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
MOR
1 - 3
CAZ
31%
24%
46%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2002 |
VEL
1 - 0
SPC
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
SPC
3 - 4
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2001 |
EME
3 - 1
SPC
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2001 |
SPC
3 - 2
OLI
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2001 |
CRZ
5 - 0
SPC
81%
13%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |