Liga MX Finals - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
CA Morelia vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2007 |
AME
1 - 0
MOR
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
MOR
3 - 0
AME
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 0
MOR
53%
24%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
MOR
2 - 1
CAZ
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
SNL
2 - 1
MOR
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
SNL
2 - 2
SAN
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 0
TIG
61%
22%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
NEC
2 - 3
SAN
32%
25%
42%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
ATS
2 - 5
SAN
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
SAN
3 - 2
MOR
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |