CA Morelia vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
AME
0 - 2
MOR
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 1
MOR
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
VEN
0 - 2
MOR
7%
15%
78%
|
79 | 40 | 39 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 1
LEO
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2017 |
TIJ
2 - 0
MOR
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
MON
3 - 0
MUR
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
MON
3 - 0
PUM
62%
21%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2017 |
CAZ
0 - 1
MON
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
MON
0 - 2
TIG
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
TIG
4 - 1
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |