CA Morelia vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 0
SNL
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PUM
3 - 0
MOR
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 1
TIJ
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
MOR
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
PUM
57%
24%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
TIJ
1 - 0
MON
26%
27%
47%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
JAG
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
MON
3 - 2
ESP
71%
17%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 1
MON
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |