Liga MX Finals - Clausura Last 16
Global 1-1
CA Morelia vs Atlas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
MOR
2 - 1
AME
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
EST
4 - 0
MOR
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
MOR
2 - 1
PUM
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
QRO
3 - 1
MOR
37%
28%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
MOR
0 - 1
NEC
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ATS
2 - 0
QRO
55%
25%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
NEC
2 - 1
ATS
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ATS
0 - 2
CHI
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
MON
2 - 0
ATS
48%
25%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
TOL
0 - 0
ATS
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |