CA Morelia vs Deportivo Tepic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
TIG
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
TEP
2 - 2
MOR
29%
23%
48%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CAZ
0 - 3
MOR
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 1
PUE
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 3
MOR
39%
28%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Tepic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
TEP
2 - 2
MOR
29%
23%
48%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
TEP
3 - 3
MUR
76%
17%
7%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
TEP
0 - 3
ALE
44%
28%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ZAC
2 - 0
TEP
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
ALT
0 - 1
TEP
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |