CA Morelia vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 0
MOR
39%
29%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 0
UAT
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
MER
0 - 2
MOR
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 1
SPT
63%
21%
15%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
CDT
2 - 0
MOR
27%
28%
45%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
CIM
2 - 1
UDG
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
RYD
1 - 1
CIM
37%
29%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CIM
0 - 0
CFC
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ALE
1 - 1
CIM
45%
28%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
CIM
3 - 0
ZAC
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |