CA Morelia vs Indios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 1
SNL
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
AME
1 - 2
MOR
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
TIG
1 - 1
MOR
39%
28%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
MOR
4 - 2
ATS
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Indios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
IND
0 - 1
AME
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
IND
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
IND
0 - 0
MON
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2009 |
PAC
2 - 3
IND
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
IND
0 - 2
PAC
34%
26%
41%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |