Morelia U20 vs Lobos BUAP U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morelia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
AME
5 - 2
MOR
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 1
PUM
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
PAC
4 - 1
MOR
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 1
QUE
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
MOR
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
BUA
1 - 2
TIG
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
BUA
0 - 3
ATL
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
AME
3 - 1
BUA
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
BUA
1 - 3
PUM
44%
25%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
PAC
0 - 2
BUA
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |