Moreland Zebras vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
61.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreland Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
OAK
2 - 1
MZA
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MZA
0 - 3
MEL
25%
23%
53%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
4 - 0
MZA
81%
13%
6%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
DAN
2 - 0
MEL
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
HUM
0 - 3
DAN
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DAN
4 - 0
SOU
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
OAK
1 - 1
DAN
46%
25%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
DAN
0 - 1
SOU
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |