Moreira do Lima vs Melgacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
56.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+306%
-84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreira do Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PAC
1 - 3
MLI
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
AAR
4 - 1
MLI
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
MLI
0 - 3
PON
11%
18%
70%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
MLI
2 - 3
NEV
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PER
2 - 1
MLI
48%
23%
30%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Melgacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MEL
1 - 4
AAR
19%
21%
61%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 3
NEV
15%
19%
66%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 2
CCO
25%
22%
53%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 0
MEL
28%
22%
50%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 2
MEL
45%
23%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |