Moreira do Lima vs Atlético dos Arcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
68.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+306%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreira do Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
PON
3 - 0
MLI
69%
18%
14%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
NEV
5 - 0
MLI
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 2
PER
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 3
MLI
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MLI
4 - 0
CAM
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético dos Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
AAR
1 - 1
NEV
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LAN
0 - 3
AAR
11%
17%
72%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
AAR
2 - 1
CCO
65%
19%
17%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 4
AAR
22%
21%
57%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
AAR
3 - 1
SCV
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |