Morecambe vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
WYC
1 - 0
MOR
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 1
MOR
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 2
GUL
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
STA
2 - 0
MOR
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
ROT
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
PNE
0 - 0
WOL
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
WOL
2 - 3
BET
21%
23%
56%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
BHA
2 - 0
WOL
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
WOL
1 - 2
BUR
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 1
WOL
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |