Morecambe vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 2
MOR
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 1
CUM
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
STF
1 - 0
MOR
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MOR
3 - 0
LUT
24%
28%
49%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
STE
1 - 1
MOR
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
STE
3 - 2
CAM
43%
27%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
DAG
0 - 2
STE
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
STE
1 - 0
EXE
40%
26%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 0
STE
59%
23%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
STE
1 - 1
MOR
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |