Morecambe vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
42.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ALD
2 - 1
MOR
45%
25%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 0
STF
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 1
MOR
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 4
BCF
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 2
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
STE
2 - 1
BUR
65%
21%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
ROT
1 - 1
STE
38%
27%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
STE
0 - 2
WYC
62%
22%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
HER
1 - 4
STE
17%
25%
58%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
LIN
0 - 1
STE
18%
25%
56%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |