Morecambe vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
EXE
4 - 0
MOR
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2003 |
MOR
0 - 1
CHE
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
MOR
3 - 3
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
STF
2 - 0
MOR
39%
26%
36%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
MOR
2 - 2
EBB
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
STE
2 - 1
STA
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2003 |
TAM
1 - 2
STE
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
STE
2 - 1
STO
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
STE
2 - 0
STF
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
FOR
3 - 1
STE
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |