Morecambe vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
GIL
2 - 1
MOR
40%
26%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 1
ROT
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 0
STF
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
BBU
1 - 2
MOR
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
IPS
2 - 2
MOR
34%
28%
39%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PNE
1 - 0
POS
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
HUR
1 - 0
PNE
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
REA
2 - 1
PNE
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 3
PNE
24%
23%
53%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
PNE
1 - 4
HUL
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |