Morecambe vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
BCF
0 - 0
MOR
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
CHE
2 - 0
MOR
33%
26%
42%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
MOR
3 - 2
BUR
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 0
DAR
64%
21%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
STA
3 - 2
MOR
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
POR
4 - 0
LIN
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
POR
0 - 2
BAR
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
GUL
1 - 2
POR
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
CHE
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
BUR
1 - 0
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |