Morecambe vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
LIN
1 - 1
MOR
28%
26%
47%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2007 |
MOR
2 - 0
STO
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
MOR
0 - 1
MKD
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
SHE
5 - 0
MOR
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
POS
1 - 1
MOR
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
NOR
2 - 1
POR
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2007 |
POR
3 - 0
CHE
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
POR
1 - 2
SOU
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
LUT
2 - 1
POR
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
POR
0 - 2
NTT
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |