Morecambe vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
4 - 1
SCU
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
MOR
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
SOU
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 1
MOR
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
CHE
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
OLD
5 - 2
COL
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 4
OLD
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
OLD
0 - 1
STE
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
LEY
2 - 1
OLD
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
OLD
2 - 1
EXE
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |