Morecambe vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
TRA
49%
24%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
TRA
1 - 2
MOR
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 0
BRA
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
WAL
0 - 2
MOR
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 1
BOL
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
FOR
4 - 3
NEW
28%
24%
48%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 1
NEW
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHE
33%
30%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
4 - 0
SCU
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |