Morecambe vs Bristol Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 3
LUT
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
OXF
0 - 0
MOR
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 4
NOR
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 2
MOR
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
YEO
2 - 4
MOR
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 3
BRO
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BRO
1 - 2
OPA
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PLY
1 - 1
BRO
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BRO
0 - 1
STA
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BRO
0 - 1
OXF
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |