Morecambe vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
SHW
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 4
PNE
31%
24%
44%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
GIL
2 - 1
MOR
40%
26%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 1
ROT
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 0
STF
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
5 - 3
OPA
31%
23%
45%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 1
OXF
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
IPS
2 - 2
AFC
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 1
AFC
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SUN
1 - 0
AFC
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |