Morecambe vs AFC Wimbledon analysis


54	ELO	56
-14.6%	Tilt	-5.8%
4628º	General ELO ranking	2383º
139º	Country ELO ranking	62º
ELO win probability

36.6%

Morecambe

27.4%

Draw

36%

AFC Wimbledon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

36.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%

27.4%

Draw

0-0

8.7%

1-1

13%

2-2

4.8%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.4%

36%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-17%

+5%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Morecambe

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
24 Jan. 2015	PLY 1 - 1 MOR 52% 25% 23%	54	57	3
16 Jan. 2015	CHE 1 - 1 MOR 43% 26% 31%	54	51	3
10 Jan. 2015	MOR 0 - 0 TRA 44% 27% 29%	54	54	0
03 Jan. 2015	MOR 0 - 0 STE 41% 27% 32%	54	56	2
28 Dec. 2014	HAR 0 - 2 MOR 29% 25% 46%	54	46	8

Matches

AFC Wimbledon

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
24 Jan. 2015	AFC 2 - 1 STA 57% 23% 20%	56	54	2	0
17 Jan. 2015	AFC 1 - 3 CUM 67% 19% 14%	57	50	7	-1
10 Jan. 2015	STE 2 - 1 AFC 44% 25% 30%	58	56	2	-1
05 Jan. 2015	AFC 1 - 2 LIV 8% 15% 76%	58	90	32	0
28 Dec. 2014	AFC 4 - 1 EXE 50% 24% 26%	57	57	0	+1