Morecambe vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
72.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
YEO
0 - 1
MOR
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 0
OPA
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 1
BPO
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
ROT
4 - 5
MOR
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
GRI
2 - 0
MOR
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
WHU
1 - 0
BOU
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 3
MUD
23%
24%
53%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
MUD
3 - 1
BOU
64%
21%
14%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 1
WBA
52%
24%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
EVE
2 - 1
BOU
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |