Morecambe vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
POR
0 - 2
MOR
43%
26%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
MOR
3 - 0
BCF
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
DAR
0 - 4
MOR
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 0
CHE
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 1
CUM
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
BOU
1 - 0
STF
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
BOU
37%
27%
37%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
BOU
1 - 2
NOT
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
BOU
0 - 0
DAG
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 2
BOU
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |