Morecambe vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
47.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 2
CUM
29%
23%
48%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 0
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 1
SWI
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
LIN
1 - 1
MOR
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
BAR
4 - 3
MOR
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
NOT
2 - 2
STA
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
STA
1 - 3
WBA
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
STA
2 - 1
MAN
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
YEO
3 - 2
STA
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
STA
3 - 2
PNE
29%
23%
48%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +2 |