Morecambe vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 1
SHE
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
2 - 0
MOR
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 1
BOL
20%
23%
57%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
MOR
3 - 1
SOU
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
WYC
0 - 1
MOR
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
STA
2 - 2
HUL
16%
23%
61%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
STA
1 - 1
LUT
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
STA
1 - 1
BPO
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
STA
1 - 0
ROC
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
STA
4 - 2
BUR
13%
20%
67%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |