Morecambe vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
EXE
1 - 1
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CUM
1 - 1
MOR
53%
24%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 4
STF
27%
29%
44%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 1
HAR
62%
23%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
LUT
2 - 3
MOR
67%
21%
13%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
STA
0 - 2
NEW
42%
26%
33%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
STA
2 - 2
YOR
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
WYC
2 - 2
STA
62%
23%
16%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BUR
3 - 0
STA
60%
24%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
STA
1 - 1
OPA
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |