Morecambe vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 1
ROC
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
GUL
1 - 0
MOR
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
ROT
2 - 1
MOR
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 0
SOU
32%
27%
42%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ROC
1 - 2
MOR
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
FYL
1 - 4
STA
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
STA
1 - 0
BRO
48%
24%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
STA
0 - 1
YOR
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
OXF
5 - 0
STA
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
GUL
3 - 1
STA
57%
24%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |