Morecambe vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
POR
2 - 1
MOR
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
BRE
3 - 1
MOR
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 1
ROC
31%
26%
44%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
GIL
5 - 0
MOR
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 1
MOR
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
STA
0 - 1
WYC
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
STA
2 - 1
STF
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
LUT
1 - 2
STA
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
STA
2 - 3
BRA
32%
27%
41%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
BAR
2 - 1
STA
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |