Morazzone vs Valceresio Audax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
26.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morazzone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
AMI
0 - 2
MOR
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
3 - 0
ANT
79%
14%
8%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
INS
0 - 2
MOR
11%
17%
72%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
4 - 1
RAS
84%
11%
5%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 1
GOR
68%
18%
15%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Valceresio Audax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 1
GOR
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 1
VAL
23%
22%
55%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 1
BOR
87%
10%
4%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BES
1 - 0
VAL
48%
23%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 1
AUR
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +2 |