Morava Vladicin Han vs Timok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morava Vladicin Han
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
FKT
3 - 2
MOR
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
MOR
2 - 0
KOS
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
DJE
3 - 1
MOR
41%
24%
35%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
MOR
2 - 0
DUB
52%
23%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
JAG
2 - 0
MOR
78%
15%
7%
|
29 | 62 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Timok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
TIM
2 - 0
FKS
32%
25%
44%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
KOP
0 - 0
TIM
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
TIM
1 - 2
NIS
38%
26%
37%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
JED
0 - 0
TIM
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
TIM
4 - 1
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |