Morava Vladicin Han vs Jagodina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
58.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morava Vladicin Han
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ZEL
1 - 0
MOR
66%
19%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
MOR
2 - 2
SIN
32%
25%
42%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
MOR
3 - 1
FKS
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
MOR
1 - 4
KOP
32%
26%
42%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
NIS
4 - 1
MOR
66%
20%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Jagodina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
JAG
4 - 1
FKS
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
KOP
0 - 3
JAG
18%
26%
57%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
JAG
3 - 0
NIS
79%
15%
7%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
JAG
4 - 4
JED
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 1
JAG
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 25 | 37 | 0 |