Moratalla vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moratalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PLU
0 - 0
MOR
24%
26%
50%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
3 - 1
ABA
75%
16%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
PUL
1 - 1
MOR
35%
26%
39%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
MOR
21%
26%
53%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
LHO
47%
24%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 2
LHO
27%
24%
49%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 0
LOR
58%
23%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 2
CAL
58%
23%
20%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 2
PIN
38%
25%
37%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
LOR
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |