Moratalla vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moratalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
PUL
1 - 1
MOR
35%
26%
39%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
MOR
21%
26%
53%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
LHO
47%
24%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
MOR
24%
25%
51%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
CAL
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ABA
2 - 2
LHO
17%
22%
61%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
ABA
57%
23%
19%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ABA
2 - 1
CAL
28%
25%
48%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 0
PIN
18%
22%
61%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
ABA
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |