Moratalaz vs CD Lugo Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
42.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moratalaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 0
MOR
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 0
COL
41%
24%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
TVA
0 - 2
MOR
37%
24%
39%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CDO
3 - 1
MOR
11%
18%
71%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 0
LAA
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 0
VLO
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CMP
0 - 0
LUG
30%
27%
43%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 1
ADP
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 0
CDF
75%
17%
9%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CDE
0 - 0
LUG
35%
24%
40%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |