Morang XI vs Three Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morang XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 1
LUM
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 5
FAR
46%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 0
JHA
46%
23%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
JHA
5 - 1
MOR
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 0
ARM
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Three Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
POL
2 - 2
STA
47%
23%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
STA
1 - 1
MAN
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
APF
1 - 4
STA
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
LUM
0 - 1
STA
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
JHA
0 - 0
STA
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |