Morang XI vs Nepal Army analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morang XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 0
MAN
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 1
POL
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
LUM
1 - 1
MOR
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 1
MOR
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2015 |
APF
4 - 1
MOR
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nepal Army
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 1
ARM
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
LUM
0 - 5
ARM
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 1
ARM
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
STA
0 - 0
ARM
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
APF
1 - 1
ARM
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |