Moraña vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
45.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+182%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
MOR
2 - 2
CAL
30%
23%
47%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
3 - 2
MOR
47%
23%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
MOR
3 - 1
SAM
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 1
MOR
41%
23%
36%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
FAX
1 - 5
MOR
59%
20%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
ALA
1 - 1
AMA
22%
22%
56%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
AMA
1 - 0
ROM
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
FAX
0 - 7
AMA
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
AMA
2 - 1
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
AMA
3 - 1
ZAC
65%
20%
16%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |