Moraña vs Libertad SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
53.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+233%
-87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SMI
5 - 2
MOR
74%
15%
11%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
PON
5 - 0
MOR
43%
22%
35%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 2
AMA
19%
21%
61%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MOR
4 - 1
BAM
43%
23%
34%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
COB
5 - 1
MOR
63%
20%
18%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LIB
3 - 3
BEI
64%
19%
17%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
LIB
49%
22%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 2
FAX
37%
23%
40%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
LIB
50%
22%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LIB
6 - 0
EIR
57%
21%
22%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |